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Bitcoin Near Seventy-Seven K as Eleven Billion in Options Expire and Quantum Fears Resurface

Satoshi's Signal

Published October 31, 2026

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Description

DJ Satoshi breaks down Halloween morning markets for October thirty-first, twenty twenty-six. Bitcoin trades near seventy-seven thousand five hundred dollars as roughly eleven billion dollars in options expire on Deribit today, with traders leaning heavily toward downside protection. We cover a fresh Treasury sanctions action targeting Russian nationals laundering crypto for North Korean IT workers, new quantum computing research claiming Bitcoin keys could theoretically be broken seventeen times faster than previously thought, and Glassnode data showing four million Bitcoin bought above eighty-five thousand dollars that could cap any recovery. Plus, a quick update on the Binance hack fallout as stolen Bitcoin numbers get put in perspective against Tesla and El Salvador's reserves. Stay sharp out there, Bitcoin fam.

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Episode Content

You're tuned into DJ Satoshi's Signal, your trusted provider of Bitcoin beats and breaking news! Let's get your morning started right! Good morning, Bitcoin fam, DJ Satoshi here with your Halloween briefing, October thirty-first, twenty twenty-six. Executive summary: Bitcoin is holding around seventy-seven thousand five hundred dollars this morning, and today is a big one for derivatives traders, with nearly eleven billion dollars in Bitcoin options expiring on Deribit. Let's get into the signal. Start with those options. We're talking about one third of all open Bitcoin contracts on the platform, covering roughly one hundred thirty-five thousand coins. Traders are paying a hefty premium for puts over calls, meaning plenty of folks are still protecting against further downside after this week's Binance shock. The so-called max pain level, where most contracts expire worthless, sits around seventy-eight thousand dollars, just above where we're trading now. Speaking of that Binance situation, here's a number that puts it in perspective. The eighteen thousand two hundred seventy Bitcoin stolen in that hack is now worth more than Tesla's entire corporate Bitcoin stash, and it's more than double El Salvador's national reserve. All nineteen wallets holding those coins remain untouched as investigators keep watching. On the regulatory front, the Treasury Department sanctioned ten individuals and one entity this week for laundering crypto tied to North Korea's IT worker schemes. Two Russian nationals allegedly moved millions in digital assets disguised as legitimate tech wages, funneling cash back to Pyongyang's weapons programs. This follows a similar eight hundred million dollar laundering case busted back in March, showing regulators are still chasing this money trail hard. Now, something longer-term to chew on. Quantum computing researchers at Alice and Bob published new estimates suggesting it could take just thirty thousand qubits to crack Bitcoin's cryptography, about seventeen times fewer than Google's prior estimate. We're talking theoretical, and we're talking years away, but it's a reminder that Bitcoin's long-term security roadmap needs quantum-resistant upgrades sooner rather than later. Finally, Glassnode dropped an important data point for anyone wondering why Bitcoin keeps struggling above eighty-five thousand dollars. Long-term holders are sitting on about four million coins bought between eighty-five and one hundred eighteen thousand dollars, mostly from last year. That's a wall of potential sellers just waiting to break even, and it lines up with a resistance band that's rejected Bitcoin four separate times this year. Until we clear that zone with real conviction, expect this choppy range to continue. Here's your send-off, Bitcoin fam. You woke up early, but your sats never went to bed, that's the difference between dreaming and actually arriving. Thanks for tuning in to Satoshi's Signal! Stay sharp, stack those Sats, and Hodl your keys!
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