Hot CPI Print Pushes Fed Rate Hike Odds to 70%, Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $449M, Oil Holds Above $100

Welcome to Stock Market Today — your market briefing with actionable insights on stocks, bonds, crypto, and the events moving markets. Let's get into it. Core inflation delivered a punch to rate-cut hopefuls. August C P I showed core up point three percent month-over-month—exceeding forecasts and pushing year-over-year core to two point four percent. Headline hit three point four percent annually. Bitcoin dropped from seventy-seven thousand two hundred to seventy-six thousand seven hundred, currently trading seventy-seven thousand nine hundred thirty-seven dollars. Ethereum holding twenty-five hundred seven dollars. Treasury yields exploded—ten-year jumping to near five percent, thirty-year hitting five point three five three percent, highest since June two thousand seven. Market now pricing seventy percent odds of a Fed rate hike at next week's September fifteenth meeting. Traders hedging against up to seventy-five basis points of tightening through year-end. Bitcoin E T Fs are hemorrhaging capital. Thursday saw two hundred eighty-three million in outflows—largest single day since mid-July. Three-day bleeding totals four hundred forty-nine million. ARK Twenty-One Shares led with one hundred sixty-four million out, Grayscale lost thirty-six million, Fidelity shed thirty-four million. Total Bitcoin E T F net assets now ninety-seven point five billion. Momentum clearly shifting as rate hike fears intensify. Oil and geopolitical risk converging. Brent crude holding one hundred four dollars after Iran-backed Houthis seized Yemen's Mocha port and advanced toward Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Eight point one million barrels per day flow through that chokepoint. Saudi Arabia launched strikes, Houthis fired back targeting Saudi cities. W T I briefly topped one hundred, diesel hitting record six point zero five per gallon. Energy-driven inflation keeping pressure on Fed. Equity markets closed lower for fourth straight session Thursday—Dow down three sixteen, S and P off forty-five, Nasdaq dropping one seventy-two. Friday C P I data now in—attention shifts to Fed decision next week. Diesel at record highs, bond yields at multi-year peaks, crypto capital fleeing to sidelines. Next seventy-two hours critical as markets position for potential policy pivot. That wraps your market intel — trade smart out there. For deeper insights and real-time analysis, visit capitalcopilot dot i o.